CS2 Knife Chance Calculator
| Skin Rarity | Odds of Obtaining | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (Blue) | 79.92% | Common skins; most frequently obtained. |
| Restricted (Purple) | 15.98% | Less common skins; can be valuable but still relatively frequent. |
| Classified (Pink) | 3.2% | Rare skins; higher value and desirability. |
| Covert (Red) | 0.64% | Very rare skins; includes some of the most sought-after items. |
| Ultra Rare (Gold) | 0.26% | Extremely rare items; often includes knives and gloves. |
| StatTrak Variants | 10% chance on any skin | StatTrak versions have a separate probability of dropping. |
Key Insights
- The odds are consistent across different cases, meaning no case offers better chances than another for rarer items.
- Opening cases is largely a gamble, with a high likelihood of receiving lower-tier items, making it less profitable in the long run.
- Players are encouraged to consider the economic aspect of case opening versus purchasing skins directly from marketplaces.
Additional Notes
- The odds reflect a mathematical model based on extensive data from case openings, confirming that luck plays a significant role in what you receive2.
- Players can obtain cases through gameplay rather than purchasing them, as they are frequently dropped during matches.
This table summarizes the essential information regarding CS2 case opening chances, helping players understand their potential outcomes when engaging in this feature of the game.